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UPDATES FOR THE 2024 PREVIEW HAVE CONCLUDED!

It is, of course, ridiculously early to be looking at the 2024 elections, and yet here we are. With state legislative candidates having a 95% reelection rate, and with the significant cost of running campaigns in California. . . the lists of incumbents and/or strong fundraisers for open seats are already providing good insight into the candidates most likely to win swing seats, those vacated due to term limits, or by incumbents seeking other offices.

In the 2026 General Election, it appears that California voters will elect a new Governor, Lt. Governor and at least X new US Representatives, X new State Senators, and X new Assemblymembers.

  ● November 13th was the Start of the Nomination Period.
  ● December 8th was the End of the Nomination Period.
  ● December 13th was the end of the Declaration of Candidacy Extension Period if Incumbent Does Not File (12/13).

Key:
BOLD = incumbent seeking reelection
CROSSED = incumbent not seeking reelection / withdrawn candidates
Regular = declared candidate
Italic = Potential/rumored candidate

NOTE: For a preview of federal or statewide offices, visit the Federal/Statewide Preview page.


2026 State Senate (Voter reg % as of 2/2023) - Next official voter registration update due in early January 2024

SD02 [D] - Mike McGuire (term limits) - Damon Connolly (D) [AD2 & AD12]

SD04 [35% D, 38% R] - Marie Alvarado-Gil (D)Juan Alanis (R), Whoever wins AD08 in 2024 [AD8 and AD22]

SD06 [36% D, 36% R] - Roger Niello (R)

SD08 [D] - Angelique Ashby (D)

SD10 [D] - Aisha Wahab (D)

SD12 [R] - Shannon Grove (term limits) - Andreas Borgeas (NPP) [AD8 & AD32]

SD14 [45% D, 25% R] - Anna Caballero (term limits) - Esmeralda Hurtado (ended campaign 12/2022) [AD27 & AD31]

SD16 [41% D, 28% R] - Melissa Hurtado (Running for Congress in 2024)

SD18 [D] - Steve Padilla (D)

SD20 [D] - Caroline Menjivar (D)

SD22 [D] - Susan Rubio (D)

SD24 [D] - Ben Allen (term limits) - Rick Chavez Zbur (D) [AD51 & AD66]

SD26 [D] - Maria Elena Durazo (D)

SD28 [D] - Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (D)

SD30 [D] - Bob J. Archuleta (Running for Congress in 2024)

SD32 [R] - Kelly Seyarto (R)

SD34 [D] - Tom Umberg (term limits) - Rhonda Shader (R), Avelino Valencia (D) Josh Lowenthal (ended campaign 12/2021) [AD67 & AD68]

SD36 [35% D, 36% R] - Janet Nguyen (Running for Supervisor in 2024), Kim Carr (D), Tony Strickland (R), Jim Silva (ended campaign 6/2022)

SD38 [38% D, 31% R] - Catherine Blakespear (D)

SD40 [35% D, 34% R] - Brian Jones (term limits) - Joseph C. Rocha (D), Whoever wins AD75 in 2024? [AD75 & AD76]

 

Potential Special Elections

SD16 [41% D, 28% R] - Melissa Hurtado (running for Congress in 2024) - Phil Arballo (D), David Shepard (R)
This district's registration was 41% D, 28% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

SD22 [D] - Susan Rubio (running for Congress in 2024) - Blanca Rubio (D), Mike Fong (D)

SD30 [D] - Bob Archuleta (running for Congress in 2024) - Lisa Calderon (D), Blanca Pacheco (D), 

SD36 [35% D, 36% R] - Janet Nguyen (running for OC Supervisor in 2024) - Tony Strickland (R), Tri Ta (R), Diedre Nguyen (D), Diane Dixon (R)
This district's registration was 34% D, 36% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

 


2024 State Assembly
(Voter reg % as of 2/2023) - Next official voter registration update due in early January 2024

AD01  [R] - Megan Dahle (State Senate run 2/2023) - Melissa Hunt (R), Mark Mezzano (R), Kelly Tanner (R), Tenessa Audette (R), Heather M. Hadwick (R), Joshua D. Brown (NPP)

AD02  [D] - Jim Wood (Declined reelection 11/2023)Michael F. Greer (R), Ariel Kelley (D), Chris Rogers (D), Rusty Hicks (D), Cynthia Anne Click (D), Franklin J. Myers (D), Ted Williams (D)

AD03  [R] - James Gallagher (R)

AD04  [D] - Cecilia Aguiar-Curry (D)

AD05  [R] - Joe Patterson (R), Neva Parker (D), Athena Q. Singh (D), Aabhash K. Gautam (R)

AD06  [D] - Kevin McCarty (Sacramento Mayor run 5/2023) - Emmanuel Amanfor (D), Paula Villescaz (D), Sean Frame (D), Carlos Marquez III (D), Evan Minton (D), Rosanna Herber (D), Maggy Krell (D), Preston Romero (R), Arnold G. Hardy (D), Alexias N. Lazar (withdrew 9/2023)

AD07  [38% D, 32% R] - Josh Hoover (R), Braden D. Murphy (D), Yedukondalu "YK" Chalamcherla (D), Porshe Middleton (D), Paula Villescaz (Changed districts 6/2023)
This district's registration was 38% D, 33% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD08  [R] - Jim Patterson (term limits) - David Tangipa (R), George Radanovich (R), Michael A. F. Matheson (NPP), Frank Bigelow (endorsed Radanovich 6/2023)

AD09  [R] - Heath Flora (R)

AD10  [D] - Stephanie Nguyen (D), Vinaya K. Singh (R)

AD11  [D] - Lori Wilson (D), Wanda Wallis (R), Jeffrey D. Flack (D), David Ennis (R)

AD12  [D] - Damon Connolly (D), Andrew Podshadley (R), Luke Shroyer (R)

AD13  [D] - Carlos Villapudua (Senate run 12/2023), Edith Villapudua (D)

AD14  [D] - Buffy Wicks (D), Utkarsh Jain (R), Margot W. Smith (D)

AD15  [D] - Tim Grayson (State Senate run 8/2023), Monica E. Wilson (D), Karen Mitchoff (D), AnaMarie Avila Farias (D), Dylan M. Silva-Briard (R), Steve Glazer (withdrew 10/2023)

AD16  [D] - Rebecca Bauer-Kahan (D), Joseph Rubay (R)

AD17  [D] - Matt Haney (D), Otto Duke (D), Manuel Noris-Barrera (R)

AD18  [D] - Mia Bonta (D)Mindy Pechenuk (R)

AD19  [D] - Phil Ting (term limits) - Catherine Stefani (D), Nadia Flamenco (R), Arjun Gustav Sodhani (R)

AD20  [D] - Liz Ortega-Toro (D)

AD21  [D] - Diane Papan (D), Mark Gilham (R)

AD22  [40% D, 33% R] - Juan Alanis (R), Jessica Self (D)
This district's registration was 40% D, 33% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD23  [D] - Marc Berman (D), Miguel Arcero (D), Gus Mattammal (R), Lydia Kou (D)

AD24  [D] - Alex T. Lee (D), Bob Brunton (R)Kansen Chu (City Council run 7/2023)

AD25  [D] - Ash Kalra (D), Theodore L. Stroll (R), Lan Ngo (D)

AD26  [D] - Evan Low (Congress run 11/2023), Linda Price (D), Robert D. Goodwyn (L), James W. Davies, Yan Song, Patrick J. Ahrens (D), Tara Sreekrishnan (D), Omar Din (D)

AD27  [D] - Esmeralda Soria (D), Joanna Lynn Garcia Rose (R)

AD28  [D] - Gail Pellerin (D)

AD29  [D] - Robert Rivas (D), James W. Paine (R), Donald Meyer (R)

AD30  [D] - Dawn Addis (D), Dalila Epperson (R)

AD31  [D] - Joaquin Arambula (D)

AD32  [R] - Vince Fong (R), Andy Vidak? (R)

AD33  [35% D, 35% R] - Devon Mathis (declined reelection 11/2023), Angel Ruiz (D), Ruben Macareno, Alexandra Macedo (R)
This district's registration was 35% D, 35% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD34  [R] - Tom Lackey (R), Ricardo Ortega Martinez Jr. (D)

AD35  [D] - Jasmeet Bains (D)Andrae Gonzales (instead seeking reelection to the Bakersfield City Council)

AD36  [D] - Eduardo Garcia (declined reelection 12/2023)Eric Rodriguez (D), Jeffrey Gonzalez (R), Kalin K. Morse (R)

AD37  [D] - Gregg Hart (D), Sari M. Domingues (R)

AD38  [D] - Steve Bennett (D)

AD39  [D] - Juan Carrillo (D)

AD40  [D] - Pilar Schiavo (D), Jason R. Aula (R), Patrick Lee Gipson (R), Suzette Martinez-Valladares (State Senate run 2/2023)
This district's registration was 42% D, 29% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD41  [D] - Chris Holden (term limits) - Felicia Williams (D), Jed Leano (D), Phlunte Riddle (D), John Harabedian (D), Michelle Del Rosario Martinez (R)

AD42  [41% D, 30% R] - Jacqui Irwin (D), Ted K. Nordblum (R)
This district's registration was 41% D, 30% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD43  [D] - Luz Rivas (Congress run 11/2023), Carmenlina Minasova (NPP), Felicia L. Novick (R), Celeste Rodriguez (D), Saul Hurtado (D)

AD44  [D] - Laura Friedman (Congress run 1/2023) - Steve Pierson (D), Nicholas B.C. Schultz (D), Carmenita I. Helligar (D), Edward Han (D), Elen Asatryan (D), Erik Hartung (D), Adam Summer (D), Adam D. Pryor (D), James Clarke (R), Adrin Nazarian (City Council run 2/2022)

AD45  [D] - James C. Ramos (D)

AD46  [D] - Jesse Gabriel (D), Tracey Schroeder (R)

AD47  [40% D, 34% R] - Greg Wallis (R)Christy Holstege (D)
This district's registration was 40% D, 34% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD48  [D] - Blanca Rubio (D), Brian Tabatabai (D)

AD49  [D] - Mike Fong (D), Long "David" Liu (R), Frank Torres (withdrew 3/2022), Hans Liang (withdrew 11/2021)

AD50  [D] - Eloise Reyes (State Senate run 12/2022) - DeJonae Shaw (D), Robert Garcia (D), Adam Perez (D)

AD51  [D] - Rick Chavez Zbur (D), Shiva G. Bagheri (R)

AD52  [D] - Wendy Carrillo (City Council run 4/2023)  - Justine Gonzalez (D), Jessica Maldonado (D), Ari Ruiz (D), Genesis L. Coronado (D),  Hector David Giron (D), Jessica Caloza (D), Carlos J. Leon (D), Sofia G. Quinones (D), Francisco Carrillo Jr. (D), Anthony L. Fanara (D)

AD53  [D] - Freddie Rodriguez (term limits) - Michelle Rodriguez (D), Robert S. Torres (D), Francisco Javier Hernandez (D), Carlos Goytia (D), Nick Wilson (R)

AD54  [D] - Miguel Santiago (City Council run 4/2023) - John Yi (D), Mark Gonzalez (D), Elaine Alaniz (R)

AD55  [D] - Isaac G. Bryan (D), Keith G. Cascio (R)

AD56  [D] - Lisa Calderon (D), Jessica Martinez (R), Audrey R. Ruiz (R), Natasha Serrano (R)

AD57  [D] - Reggie Jones-Sawyer (term limits)Efren Martinez (D), Marcial Rene Romero (D), Zeinab Sade Elhawary (D), Dulce Vasquez (D), Gregory Akili (D), Isidro J. Armenta (D)

AD58  [D] - Sabrina Cervantes (State Senate run 12/2022) - Ronaldo Fierro (D), Clarissa Cervantes (D), Letitia Castillo (R)

AD59  [33% D, 39% R] - Phillip Chen (R), David Obrand (D)
This district's registration was 32% D, 40% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD60  [D] - Corey Jackson (D), Esther Portillo (D), Ronald R. Edwards (R), Cynthia Mendez (D), Hector Diaz Nava (R)

AD61  [D] - Tina Simone McKinnor (D)

AD62  [D] - Anthony Rendon (term limits) - Jose Solache (D), Eduardo De la Riva (NPP D), Maria Estrada (D), Paul Jones (R), Karina Macias (withdrew 7/2023)

AD63  [34% D, 38% R] - Bill Essayli (R), Orlando H. Munguia (NPP)
This district's registration was 34% D, 38% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD64  [D] - Blanca Pacheco (D), Raul Ortiz Jr. (R)

AD65  [D] - Mike Gipson (D), Pierre Homer Tijerino (D)? district not certain

AD66  [D] - Albert Muratsuchi (D)

AD67  [D] - Sharon Quirk-Silva (D)

AD68  [D] - Avelino Valencia (D)

AD69  [D] - Josh Lowenthal (D), Joshua Rodriguez (R)

AD70  [37% D, 33% R] - Tri Ta (R), Jimmy D. Pham (D) Diedre Nguyen (Running for City Council in 2024)
This district's registration was 37% D, 33% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD71  [R] - Karthryn Sanchez (R), Babar Khan (P&F)

AD72  [33% D, 39% R] - Diane Dixon (R), Judie Mancuso (D), Dom Jones (D)
This district's registration was 33% D, 39% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD73  [D] - Cottie Petrie-Norris (D), Hengahem "Henny" Abraham (R)

AD74  [35% D, 35% R] - Laurie Davies (R), Chris Duncan (D), Michael E. Odegaard (NPP)
This district's registration was 35% D, 35% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD75  [R] - Marie Waldron (term limits) - Jack J. Fernandes (R), Andrew Hayes (R), Joy Frew (D), Kevin Juza (D), Carl DeMaio (R)

AD76  [38% D, 30% R] - Brian Maienschein (term limits)Joseph C. Rocha (D), Darshana R. Patel (D), Kristie Bruce-Lane (R), June Cutter (R)
This district's registration was 37% D, 31% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

AD77  [D] - Tasha Boerner Horvath (D), John Clayton (NPP), Henny Kupferstein (D)

AD78  [D] - Chris Ward (D), Henny Kupferstein (NPP; changed to AD77 in 8/2023)

AD79  [D] - Akilah Weber (State Senate run 4/2023) - Colin Parent (D), LaShae N. Sharp-Collins (D), Racquel Vasquez (D)

AD80  [D] - David Alvarez (D), Lincoln M. Pickard (R)

 


 

2024 State Senate
(Voter reg % as of 2/2023) - Next official voter registration update due in early January 2024

SD01  [R] - Brian Dahle (term limits) - Megan Dahle (R), Mark Baird (R), David D. Fennell (R), Thomas J. Bogue (R), Deidre Holliday (R)

SD03  [D] - Bill Dodd (term limits) - Christopher Cabaldon (D), Thomas J. Bogue (R), Jackie Elward (D), Rozzana N. Verder-Aliga (D), Gregory T. Ritchie (D), Jimh L. Jones (R), Martha Guerrero (endorsed Verder-Aliga 7/2023), Alfredo Pedroza (withdrew 6/2023)

SD05  [D] - Susan Eggman (term limits) - Miguel Villapudua (D), Rhodesia Ransom (D), Jim Shoemaker (R), Carlos Villapudua (D), Jerry McNerney (D), Jesus Andrade (withdrew to run for Mayor of Stockton; 6/2023), Susan Collins (corrected district number to SD27 8/2023), Edith Villapudua (Switched to A13 12/2023)

SD07  [D] - Steve Glazer (term limits) - Jesse Arreguin (D), Jovanka Beckles (D), Dan Kalb (D), Sandre Swanson (D), Kathryn LyBarger (D), Uche J. Uwahemu (D), Ernesto Falcon (D)

SD09  [D] - Nancy Skinner (term limits) - Marisol Rubio (D), Tim Grayson (D), Steve Glazer (State Assembly run 8/2023)*
* Some sources included Glazer on a candidate list of those "who filed a Statement of Intention to run" for SD-09 in 2024.

SD11  [D] - Scott Wiener (D), Yvette Corkrean (R), Cynthia Cravens (D)

SD13  [D] - Josh Becker (D), Maria Christina Laskowski (R)

SD15  [D] - Dave Cortese (D), Anthony M. Macias (R), Robert P. Howell (R), Roy T. Loaiza (R), Ann Ravel (withdrew 4/2021)

SD17  [D] - John Laird (D), Tony Virrueta (R), Eric Tao (R), Michael O. Oxford (L)

SD19  [37% D, 35% R] - Rosilicie Ochoa-Bogh (R), Lisa Middleton (D)
This district's registration was 37% D, 36% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

SD21  [D] - Monique Limon (D), Elijah Mack (NPP)

SD23  [41% D, 30% R] - Scott Wilk (term limits) - Kipp Mueller (D), Suzette Martinez Valladares (R), Ollie M. McCaulley (D), Andrea Alarcon (D), Eric A. Ohlsen (D), Donald "DJ" Hamburger (R)
This district's registration was 40% D, 30% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

SD25  [D] - Anthony Portantino (term limits) - Sasha Renee Perez (D), Elizabeth Wong Ahlers (R), Yvonne Yiu (D), Sandra Armenta (D), Teddy Choi (D), John Harabedian (Changed to AD-41 run)

SD27  [D] - Henry Stern (D)Lucie Volotzky (R), Susan A. Collins (D)

SD29  [D] - Josh Newman (Seat # change) - Eloise Gomez Reyes (D), Jason B. O'Brien (D), Carlos A. Garcia (R)

SD31  [D] - Richard Roth (term limits) - Sabrina Cervantes (D), Imran Angelov Farooq (D)

SD33  [D] - Lena Gonzalez (D), Sharifah Hardie (R NPP), Mario Paz (R)

SD35  [D] - Steven Bradford (term limits) - Autumn Burke (withdrew 2/2021), Jennifer Williams (D), Alexandre T. Monteiro (D), Michelle Chambers (D), Laura Richardson (D), Nilo Vega Michelin (D), Lamar Lyons (D), Darryn Harris (withdrew 5/2023), Gloria Zuurveen (withrew 5/2023) 

SD37  [37% D, 33% R] - Dave Min (Congress run 1/2023) - Josh Newman (D)Steven Choi (R), Alex Mohajer (D), Ali Kowsari (R), Crystal K. Miles (R), Anthony Kuo (R), Guy Selleck (R), Benjamin Yu (withdrew 7/2023)
This district's registration was 37% D, 33% R when first post-redistricting registration numbers were released in March 2022.

SD39  [D] - Toni Atkins (term limits) - Nathan B. Fletcher (withdrew 3/2023)Akilah Weber (D)

 


2024 Other Offices (with fmr CALeg candidates)

Mayor of Sacramento - Richard Pan, Kevin McCarty
Los Angeles City Council - Reggie Jones-Sawyer (D10), Wendy Carrillo (D14), Miguel Santiago (D14)
Orange County Board of Supervisors - Janet Nguyen (D1)
Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors - Chris Holden (D5)